As I intimated last week, if you're not excited for the World Cup yet, you're either soulless or
Shakira. Personally, the World Cup's arrival really dawned on me as I watched the U.S. squad round into form over the last two weeks. The squad looked downright poor in the 4-2 loss to the Czech Republic, but really found their stride three days later in the second half of the 2-1 over Turkey,
saying goodbye to America in style. The last game, a 3-1 demolition of Australia in South Africa, proved that they'd adjusted and shaken off the rust for good.
These types of games are usually tune-ups for the main squad to jell before The Big Show, but they took an even greater significance for a USA squad still struggling to define its identity and starting XI. The absence of Charlie Davies prompted questions about the structure of the 4-4-2 lineup, as many wondered if we'd be less effective without his speed up front. Coupled with legitimate debates over the starters at multiple positions, the team came into to the Send-Off Series collectively more undefined than it was a year ago. Not a great place to be two weeks before playing the 3rd best team in the world.
Yet experimentation is sometimes why these matches are scheduled in the first place. By testing many different players and lineups under the pressure preceding a World Cup, Bob Bradley saw how much more dangerous the team was by the end of the warm-up slate, ending a brief attempt at a 4-4-1-1 and settling all debates over who plays where in the 4-4-2. Thanks to these matches, we've got a solid idea of the team's best options. And even if we didn't, the countdown is already on until England on June 12. For better or worse, the line-up has likely been decided. World Cup 2010 is here.
Judging by what we've seen over the last year, here are my picks for the 2010 USA World Cup starting XI:
Goalie: Tim Howard
Least shocking pick of the whole team. The USA's best player will need to be at the top of his game, and at this point, we expect and receive nothing less from him.
Center-backs: Oguchi Onyewu, Jay DeMerit
These two have easily been the most solid defenders for the U.S. over the last year. DeMerit's positioning is nothing short of superb, and while he started slow against quick teams like Turkey, he picked up the pace and showed against the Turks that his shot-blocking ability simply keeps the team in
games. His constant presence in the squad shows how reliable he's been in this capacity for Bob Bradley.
On the other hand, Onyewu's absence is what hammered home his value to the team. Finally back from injury, Gooch showed his near-full fitness with multiple great sliding tackles in all three warm-ups, so for the most part, we have our stud defender back. Sivok's opening goal for the Czechs did raise doubts about Oguchi's aerial ability, so if strikers like Peter Crouch could be too big an issue for the backline, Clarence Goodson has been more than impressive enough (and tall enough) to fill the spot.
Left-back: Carlos Bocanegra
He's often played center-back in Onyewu's absence, but Bocanegra's veteran presence is sorely needed at the weak left-back slot. Jonathan Bornstein's performances there are consistently riddled by positional mistakes, and he has been burned too often by skilled players like the Czech Republic's Martin Fenin. (Nevertheless, Bradley bafflingly continues to use Bornstein as an offensive-minded sub, despite losing the ball frequently against poor teams like Australia.) As a result, Bocanegra's positional instinct makes him the only reliable player at the position, short of emergency backup DaMarcus Beasley. Bocanegra showed last summer that he can shut down the world's best, and the team needs that form out of its captain again to plug its biggest gap.
Right-back: Steve Cherundolo
Just like his counterpart on the left, 'Dolo is needed as a experienced hand. Jonathan Spector doesn't commit atrocities like Bornstein does, but Arda Turan outran him multiple times against Turkey, hinting that he may not be capable of stopping England's speedy Aaron Lennon. Cherundolo is better than Spector positionally but not athletically, making this a question of trade-offs. It's a tough call, but the American defense relies on its defenders to back each other up, and positioning is a huge part of that. Since the differences aren't too pronounced, I'd rather have Cherundolo as the starter and see Spector come off the bench late in the game.
Holding midfielder: Maurice Edu
The U.S. has three quality choices at holding mid, and Bob Bradley's choice will say a lot about how he wants his team to play. Traditionally, Ricardo Clark has manned the back of the midfield diamond, but every time he has played lately I ask
myself "Wait, Ricardo Clark is playing?" He never has any visible impact on the game, since instead he's passively blocking opponents' passing lanes.
Using Clark like this isn't the worst thing in the world, except that opponents then have so much time on the ball. A more aggressive holding mid like Maurice Edu would be a better choice, since he's stronger, faster, and more disruptive to attacking offenses. Clark is better against patient teams like Spain who unlock defenses, but since the teams in Group B are more likely to pressure with athletic dribblers, Bradley should select Edu based on his impressive tackling performances of late.
It's also worth mentioning, Jose Torres might be the best choice in our system. Torres proved himself to be an exceptional tackler in the second half against Turkey, yet he sets himself apart with his passing ability after the tackle, since he distributes excellently from the back once he's disrupted the opponent. This is exactly how Xabi Alonso ran the dynamic Liverpool offense a year ago, and it makes the team as a whole incredibly dangerous, since the defense is actively launching counter-attacks more quickly and more frequently.
In the end, Bob Bradley is most likely to pick Edu or Clark since they've both played often and admirably in the role, while Torres has only had a couple appearances. However, since he played so well when given the chance, don't be surprised if we see him at some point during the Cup.
Attacking midfielder: Michael Bradley
No surprise here, since by now Bradley is no longer "the coach's son", but rather one of the most consistent performers in the squad. As my friend George put it, he's a very American center-mid, since he'll win a ton of challenges and out-hustle everyone else on both sides of the ball. He's our starter here for the long haul.
Left wing: Landon Donovan
Little new can be said here, but Landon has been incredible for the national team on either wing. He's played as a striker for most of his career, but by putting him here, Bob Bradley takes advantage of Landon's speed and passing skill, without preventing him from shooting the ball himself. He displayed his pace and trickery with a couple awe-inspiring runs against Australia, and for the U.S. to operate at its best, Landon will need to have more impact than he did in '06.
Right wing: Clint Dempsey
Where can the U.S. best utilize Dempsey? It's been a major question for quite awhile, but if the Confederations Cup didn't answer it, the last three games certainly have: Dempsey needs to be a winger.
Here's the logic behind the pick: as a team, the USA's strengths are its athleticism, speed, and power, while its largest weakness is its technical skill on the ball. Therefore as a team, the U.S. wants to maximize its strengths by directing play to the wings, where athleticism is most useful and the team is less likely to be outclassed by superior ball-handlers. The U.S. will then want its most complete players on the wings, and that clearly nominates Dempsey and Donovan, both of whom have the
speed and skill to control play once it's been directed to them. (As their backup, the slower Stuart Holden has filled the role at times, though much less effectively when tracking back.)
For proof, witness the team's play during the Turkey game. The U.S. played miserably in the first half, and Dempsey looked unable to get going without room to run. Yet once they moved Dempsey back from forward to the wing opposite Landon, the team dominated play and fought back to win. Part of this was from switching back to the familiar 4-4-2, but moreso this was thanks to a more athletic player filling the wing spot. I understand (though I personally disagree with) people saying that Dempsey's the team's second-best forward, but for the sake of the team's playing style, he's needed more on the wing.
Forward #1: Jozy Altidore
In the current 23-man squad, Jozy is irreplaceable as the team's only possession forward. No other striker can play particularly well with their backs to goal, to the point that it may have been a mistake to take Gomez or Buddle instead of Brian Ching. Not to mention that Jozy is easily the best finisher of the four strikers, or that he makes the best runs at goal with the ball. As long as he's healthy, Jozy has to play as many minutes as possible.
Forward #2: Robbie Findley
Possibly the most controversial pick, but as with Dempsey, Findley is needed to facilitate the team's goals. As a counter-attacking team, the U.S. needs a forward with enough speed to keep defenses honest, since runs from the wing aren't too threatening
if defenders aren't worried about being outrun to a through-ball. Neither Buddle nor Gomez presents that threat, as they've mostly scored by popping up well to poach goals, a la Michael Owen.
Not that Findley is being picked for his blazing speed alone. The 24-year-old has incredible passing vision beyond his years, shown when he set up the tying goal against Turkey with a brilliant chip over the defense. Moreover against Australia, he similarly created the third goal with a great flick back to Landon, and his electric run down the sideline in the 58' should have resulted in a Buddle finish. His finishing has been suspect, but as Martin Tyler put it during the Australia game, he's created so many chances for himself and others that the goals will come. Buddle or Gomez may replace him in the later stages of games, but Findley needs to start so that the U.S. is a threat from the opening whistle.
There's some room for personal choice, but in all likelihood, Bob Bradley will start this XI against England. He's tested everybody, and thankfully he found the team's rhythm... just in time too, since we've reached the point of no return. Everybody put your game faces on, it's time to make waves.
enough to unlock a Netherlands defense that hasn't exactly answered every threat it's faced.
prediction is that whoever draws first blood will dominate the rest of the match.
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